Andreas S. Koudellou

Archive for November, 2011|Monthly archive page

The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds

In Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, El Niño and La Niña, Environment, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, Global Economics, MF Global, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 30, 2011 at 3:37 am

If the IMF is asked for funds from the EU, it won’t have enough resources for the rest of the worlds emerging markets if there is a contagion.

The fiscal situation in the EU’s GIIPS countries is not good, but it’s not like they were jewels to begin with, they’ve battled these problems for decades, even centuries.

The ECB must resolve this. Today, there exists a real possibility that the EZ might just break apart and countries would return to multiple currencies.

The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds as needed.

Statistics in Greece is a combat sport

In Arctic Oscillation, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, macroeconomic factors, MF Global, philanthropy, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 28, 2011 at 7:43 pm

Elstat is Greece’s new independent statistics agency. Elstat has been commissioned by the European Commission to “clean up” the statistics, after decades of corruption and inadequacy by the Greek finance ministry.

Yet, Elstat is now facing opposition in the form of an official criminal investigation by the Greek government for “inflating the scale of the country’s financial crisis.

Accusations include delay in diaper aments of loan tranches.

The market will open down 100% tomorrow, Thank You, Republican National Security Debate

In Capital Shortfall, Commodities, Culture, default, Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, latin america, MF Global, Nuclear, philanthropy, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, Regulatory demands, Turbulent Markets on November 23, 2011 at 2:35 am

Tonights Republican debate is focusing on national security and foreign policy issues. So far, the candidates have been unable to understand if the next Iranian regime will likely want nuclear weapons too.

I guess “Africa is a country”…and according to Rick Perry’s math “half a trillion” is actually equal to “500 million.”

we should spend even MORE money on Defense! – Mitt Romney

“Africa is a country on the brink.” – Rick Santorum

genocide overseas? Not our business, beer should be illegal – Ron Paul,

Iran has mountains and shit – Herman Cain

Chilean models http://bit.ly/sivhRn – Newt Gingritch

give mexican drug lords medical care and scholarships – Rick Perry

“voices in my head said” – Michelle Bachman

CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Contest Bonus Bucks for Friday, November 18

In Uncategorized on November 18, 2011 at 3:46 pm

Bonus Bucks for Friday, November 18 (the ones posted Thursday night).

1. On Wednesday, the Bank of England predicted that inflation would fall to what level in two year’s time?
D. 1.3 percent

2. Despite the U.S. consumer confidence at recession levels, Smead Capital Management believes its time to buy shares of consumer discretionary stocks. Which ones does it suggest?
A. Walgreen, Starbucks, Nordstrom

3. According to Hiring For Attitude, one of CNBC.com’s best books for the holidays, what percentage of newly hired employees fail within 18 months?
A. 46 percent

EU Vassals.

In Arctic Oscillation, Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Culture, Cyprus, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), default, Economic Institutions, El Niño and La Niña, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, Hedge Fund, ICE Brent Crude oil, IKOS Financial, latin america, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 17, 2011 at 7:47 pm

One, politics in Europe are local, not “European.”
Two, monetary, fiscal, and labor policy are at the core of the problems in the GIIPS.
Third, The EU had better identify itself and make its presence known- finally.

It is her “fight or flight” moment. The Entire EU hangs in the balance, and coupled with that the US economy. Sovereign debt and negative growth are actually spreading.

Mr. Monti and Mr. Papademos must play a role in tightening the fiscal policies and make the structural reforms needed. These technocrats, should provide a positive step in increasing pro investor policy.

Record Month For Bond Holders

In Arctic Oscillation, Cataclysm, Commodities, Crisis in Japan, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, MF Global, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands, selective default on November 12, 2011 at 6:17 pm

Bond managers have recovered record profits in the past month.
See attached charts, courtesy of Jpm:

20111112-131724.jpg

20111112-131734.jpg

Weakest Performing Financials (domestic & foreign)

In Arctic Oscillation, Argentina and Brazil, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), European Union, Financing Reconstruction, Global Economics, Groupon legt Traumstart an der Börse, Hedge Fund, ICE Brent Crude oil, IKOS Financial, macroeconomic factors, Multibillion, Nuclear, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands on November 9, 2011 at 5:33 pm

No. Ticker % Change Industry
1 MKTG -20.71 FINANCIAL
2 ING -11.96 FINANCIAL
3 HMPR -10.18 FINANCIAL
4 AEG -8.82 FINANCIAL
5 DB -8.78 FINANCIAL
6 BCS -8.55 FINANCIAL
7 DGIT -8.53 FINANCIAL
8 RDN -8.53 FINANCIAL
9 OCN -8.25 FINANCIAL
10 HBC -8.04 FINANCIAL
11 CS -8.03 FINANCIAL
12 PNSN -7.76 FINANCIAL
13 LMLP -7.56 FINANCIAL
14 STD -7.25 FINANCIAL
15 ENOC -7.08 FINANCIAL
16 BBVA -6.99 FINANCIAL
17 UBS -6.90 FINANCIAL
18 LIME -6.87 FINANCIAL
19 PUK -6.80 FINANCIAL
20 NBG -6.44 FINANCIAL
21 LYG -6.35 FINANCIAL
22 MS -6.29 FINANCIAL
23 ETFC -6.27 FINANCIAL
24 NCT -6.14 FINANCIAL
25 Z -6.09 FINANCIAL
26 JEF -6.03 FINANCIAL
27 CRD-B -5.72 FINANCIAL
28 RF -5.71 FINANCIAL
29 DRL -5.51 FINANCIAL
30 IRE -5.50 FINANCIAL
31 GRNB -5.47 FINANCIAL
32 LNC -5.47 FINANCIAL
33 KB -5.43 FINANCIAL
34 TAOM -5.28 FINANCIAL
35 JNS -5.26 FINANCIAL
36 PFG -5.25 FINANCIAL
37 MTG -5.21 FINANCIAL
38 PRU -5.19 FINANCIAL
39 PL -5.13 FINANCIAL
40 STI -5.10 FINANCIAL
41 UVE -5.07 FINANCIAL
42 LABL -5.07 FINANCIAL
43 SHG -5.05 FINANCIAL
44 TPGI -5.04 FINANCIAL
45 MET -5.02 FINANCIAL
46 AAT -5.00 FINANCIAL
47 LAZ -4.92 FINANCIAL
48 COWN -4.91 FINANCIAL
49 IBN -4.91 FINANCIAL
50 OZM -4.90 FINANCIAL

Today’s Worst Performing Foreign Financials:
No. Ticker % Change Industry Market Cap
1 DB -6.77 Foreign Money Center Banks 52,860,000,000
2 NBG -6.15 Foreign Money Center Banks 6,210,000,000
3 BCS -5.95 Foreign Money Center Banks 47,100,000,000
4 STD -5.94 Foreign Money Center Banks 96,000,000,000
5 LYG -5.76 Foreign Money Center Banks 49,970,000,000
6 AIB -5.06 Foreign Money Center Banks 2,180,000,000
7 ITUB -4.21 Foreign Money Center Banks 102,640,000,000
8 UBS -3.85 Foreign Money Center Banks 67,090,000,000
9 WBK -3.72 Foreign Money Center Banks 70,740,000,000
10 CS -3.62 Foreign Money Center Banks 45,720,000,000
11 GGAL -3.09 Foreign Money Center Banks 1,810,000,000
12 HBC -2.17 Foreign Money Center Banks 174,630,000,000
No. Ticker % Change Industry Market Cap
1 BBVA -7.08 Foreign Regional Banks 49,400,000,000
2 IRE -3.77 Foreign Regional Banks 1,400,000,000
3 BBD -3.65 Foreign Regional Banks 76,450,000,000
4 BMA -3.50 Foreign Regional Banks 2,340,000,000
5 BPOP -3.44 Foreign Regional Banks 2,820,000,000
6 HDB -3.08 Foreign Regional Banks 28,150,000,000
7 SHG -2.95 Foreign Regional Banks 22,760,000,000
8 BFR -2.91 Foreign Regional Banks 1,840,000,000
9 IBN -2.33 Foreign Regional Banks 27,640,000,000

Read this Article America, 11m borrowers “under water”

In Arctic Oscillation, Capital Shortfall, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, macroeconomic factors, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 9, 2011 at 5:20 pm

30m mortgage holders out of 55m are paying above market interest rates… 1% over the average for a new 30 year…
This is quoted from the article: “I answered an ad in 1995 that I thought was for a job related to “security” (as in security guard) but was in fact related to “securities.” That’s how little I knew about the stock market. A few months later I found myself working a phone at a Fidelity Investments call center. Things went well, and by 1999 I was a Merrill Lynch financial adviser and a certified financial planner.”
— How a Financial Pro Lost His House – NYTimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/09/business/how-a-financial-pro-lost-his-house.html

Anglo American Plc Buyout

In Uncategorized on November 7, 2011 at 6:42 am

Anglo American Plc has bought out the Oppenheimer family’s 40% ownership of De Beers for approx. $5.1bn in cash. Anglo, will now control just over 85% of De Beers has forecasted a rise in demand for diamonds in emerging countries…
“We’re seeing in the first half of this year a tremendous increase in demand coming out of emerging countries as well as developed countries,”… “In 2005, India and China represented about 8% of demand. By 2015, India, China and the Gulf will represent about close to 40%.”
Anglo is no stranger to buyouts, having purchased the Minas Rio iron-ore project (Brazil) for $5.5bn in 2008.

Groupon Traumstart

In Capital Shortfall, Groupon legt Traumstart an der Börse on November 4, 2011 at 4:01 pm

20111104-115619.jpg
Since IPO, Groupon has lost $3bn market cap – half of what Google offered them.

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