Commodities volatility

Social unrest and revolt during the Arab spring led to a restricted N African supply of crude. Japan’s catastrophic quake halted her industrial production lines. These events created unprecedented volatility in the raw commodities industry, the volatility is set to continue through 2012 as more austere fiscal measures are adopted.

The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds

If the IMF is asked for funds from the EU, it won’t have enough resources for the rest of the worlds emerging markets if there is a contagion. The fiscal situation in the EU’s GIIPS countries is not good, but it’s not like they were jewels to begin with, they’ve battled these problems for decades,Continue reading “The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds”

Statistics in Greece is a combat sport

Elstat is Greece’s new independent statistics agency. Elstat has been commissioned by the European Commission to “clean up” the statistics, after decades of corruption and inadequacy by the Greek finance ministry. Yet, Elstat is now facing opposition in the form of an official criminal investigation by the Greek government for “inflating the scale of theContinue reading “Statistics in Greece is a combat sport”

The market will open down 100% tomorrow, Thank You, Republican National Security Debate

Tonights Republican debate is focusing on national security and foreign policy issues. So far, the candidates have been unable to understand if the next Iranian regime will likely want nuclear weapons too. I guess “Africa is a country”…and according to Rick Perry’s math “half a trillion” is actually equal to “500 million.” we should spendContinue reading “The market will open down 100% tomorrow, Thank You, Republican National Security Debate”

CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Contest Bonus Bucks for Friday, November 18

Bonus Bucks for Friday, November 18 (the ones posted Thursday night). 1. On Wednesday, the Bank of England predicted that inflation would fall to what level in two year’s time? D. 1.3 percent 2. Despite the U.S. consumer confidence at recession levels, Smead Capital Management believes its time to buy shares of consumer discretionary stocks.Continue reading “CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Contest Bonus Bucks for Friday, November 18”

EU Vassals.

One, politics in Europe are local, not “European.” Two, monetary, fiscal, and labor policy are at the core of the problems in the GIIPS. Third, The EU had better identify itself and make its presence known- finally. It is her “fight or flight” moment. The Entire EU hangs in the balance, and coupled with thatContinue reading “EU Vassals.”

Record Month For Bond Holders

Bond managers have recovered record profits in the past month. See attached charts, courtesy of Jpm: