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Archive for the ‘FX’ Category

$GS screenshot on the most important economies for global markets.

In Arctic Oscillation, Argentina and Brazil, Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, crimea, Crisis in Japan, Culture, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), default, demographic, distorted markets, drone invasion, Economic Institutions, El Niño and La Niña, Environment, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, global breadbasket, Global Economics, Groupon legt Traumstart an der Börse, Hedge Fund, ICE Brent Crude oil, IKOS Financial, ipo, latin america, libor, macroeconomic factors, Multibillion, new york city, Nuclear, philanthropy, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, publish, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on March 15, 2014 at 5:39 am

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Labor costs in GIIS.

In Arctic Oscillation, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Cyprus, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, Groupon legt Traumstart an der Börse on December 14, 2012 at 3:07 am

Struggling countries in the eurozone – Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain … Have been reducing labour costs steadily.

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Statistics in Greece is a combat sport

In Arctic Oscillation, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, macroeconomic factors, MF Global, philanthropy, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 28, 2011 at 7:43 pm

Elstat is Greece’s new independent statistics agency. Elstat has been commissioned by the European Commission to “clean up” the statistics, after decades of corruption and inadequacy by the Greek finance ministry.

Yet, Elstat is now facing opposition in the form of an official criminal investigation by the Greek government for “inflating the scale of the country’s financial crisis.

Accusations include delay in diaper aments of loan tranches.

The market will open down 100% tomorrow, Thank You, Republican National Security Debate

In Capital Shortfall, Commodities, Culture, default, Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, latin america, MF Global, Nuclear, philanthropy, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, Regulatory demands, Turbulent Markets on November 23, 2011 at 2:35 am

Tonights Republican debate is focusing on national security and foreign policy issues. So far, the candidates have been unable to understand if the next Iranian regime will likely want nuclear weapons too.

I guess “Africa is a country”…and according to Rick Perry’s math “half a trillion” is actually equal to “500 million.”

we should spend even MORE money on Defense! – Mitt Romney

“Africa is a country on the brink.” – Rick Santorum

genocide overseas? Not our business, beer should be illegal – Ron Paul,

Iran has mountains and shit – Herman Cain

Chilean models http://bit.ly/sivhRn – Newt Gingritch

give mexican drug lords medical care and scholarships – Rick Perry

“voices in my head said” – Michelle Bachman

EU Vassals.

In Arctic Oscillation, Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Commodities, Culture, Cyprus, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), default, Economic Institutions, El Niño and La Niña, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, Hedge Fund, ICE Brent Crude oil, IKOS Financial, latin america, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 17, 2011 at 7:47 pm

One, politics in Europe are local, not “European.”
Two, monetary, fiscal, and labor policy are at the core of the problems in the GIIPS.
Third, The EU had better identify itself and make its presence known- finally.

It is her “fight or flight” moment. The Entire EU hangs in the balance, and coupled with that the US economy. Sovereign debt and negative growth are actually spreading.

Mr. Monti and Mr. Papademos must play a role in tightening the fiscal policies and make the structural reforms needed. These technocrats, should provide a positive step in increasing pro investor policy.

Record Month For Bond Holders

In Arctic Oscillation, Cataclysm, Commodities, Crisis in Japan, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, MF Global, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands, selective default on November 12, 2011 at 6:17 pm

Bond managers have recovered record profits in the past month.
See attached charts, courtesy of Jpm:

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Read this Article America, 11m borrowers “under water”

In Arctic Oscillation, Capital Shortfall, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), Economic Institutions, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, macroeconomic factors, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 9, 2011 at 5:20 pm

30m mortgage holders out of 55m are paying above market interest rates… 1% over the average for a new 30 year…
This is quoted from the article: “I answered an ad in 1995 that I thought was for a job related to “security” (as in security guard) but was in fact related to “securities.” That’s how little I knew about the stock market. A few months later I found myself working a phone at a Fidelity Investments call center. Things went well, and by 1999 I was a Merrill Lynch financial adviser and a certified financial planner.”
— How a Financial Pro Lost His House – NYTimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/09/business/how-a-financial-pro-lost-his-house.html

Managing Economic Crises, Don’t Forget the Impact of Natural Disaster

In Arctic Oscillation, Argentina and Brazil, Cataclysm, Commodities, Crisis in Japan, Economic Institutions, El Niño and La Niña, Environment, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, ICE Brent Crude oil, latin america, macroeconomic factors, Multibillion, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, Regulatory demands, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 3, 2011 at 6:50 pm

The human cost to natural disasters like the one in Turkey weeks ago include injuries and temporary and permanent disabilities, temporary and permanent displacement of people, increased poverty and disease, and psychological scars. In addition Economic costs, based largely on direct infrastructure or losses of fixed capital and inventory, are also underestimated. Many indirect effects on economic activity include long-term consequences of the reallocation of investment resources, and the loss in human capital. Over the past year the incidence of natural disaster has increased.

The El Niño and La Niña events, associated with anomalous floods, droughts, and storms, are getting larger and more frequent.

In fact commodity producers are already bracing for another La Niña, a weather phenomenon that wreaked havoc earlier this year on commodities markets, sending prices to multiyear highs. La Niña is a shift to cooler than normal temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, causing above normal rainfall in south-east Asia and northern and eastern Australia, and an increase in tropical cyclones. Here in the USA, our Pacific Northwest and Northern Plains are wetter while the southern states face a lack of rain. In South America the heavy rains threaten coffee, corn and soybean production. India experiences an increase in monsoons, threatening their iron and ore. South East Asia and Australia experience heavy rains that destroy the harvests of rubber, palm oil, coal, wheat, and sugar. The change in the elements has a huge impact on commodities production.

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Crisis of Confidence

In Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Cyprus, Cyprus Investment Promotion Agency (CIPA), Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), default, Economic Institutions, Environment, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, Hedge Fund, ICE Brent Crude oil, IKOS Financial, latin america, macroeconomic factors, MF Global, Multibillion, Nuclear, philanthropy, price volatility in energy, Proprietary, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 3, 2011 at 3:59 pm

At this point it really doesn’t matter which way the crisis in Greece goes. The worlds confidence has fallen as bond markets have shown more alarm and the GIIPS have been forced a bailout. Government debt situations and the banking industry and heavily linked GLOBALLY, and more is likely to come (MF GLOBAL).
The fall in confidence has led to a convincing bailout but weaknesses in the Eurozone will still remain. Money is already fleeing the Eurozone, the dollar only an alternative. The Swiss Franc and the Yen are no-longer safe-havens because their central banks have intervened to artificially weaken those currencies.
Today the U.S. dollar is the only really liquid place for cash to go. Greece can get a bailout but she will weaken tomorrow.
The EU has no choice but to leave Greece bankrupt and in chaos. Modern Greece has not been much of a democracy in the last 60 years. Confidence is down. When they re-print the Drachma to pay bills, hyper inflation will be terrible, “contagion” is worse.

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“This is a question of whether we remain in the euro zone. This is very clear. It’s clear to everyone” – Papandreou

In Belgian, Capital Shortfall, Cataclysm, Culture, default, Economic Institutions, Environment, European Union, Financing Reconstruction, FX, Global Economics, latin america, macroeconomic factors, MF Global, Multibillion, Nuclear, philanthropy, price volatility in energy, Regulatory demands, selective default, spillover effect, Turbulent Markets on November 3, 2011 at 3:44 am

Ok, here is the itinerary: The ECB is meeting on November 3rd. The G20 is meeting on November 3-4, The Papandreou is attending on the 2nd day. A Eurogroup meeting will follow on November 7th, followed by an EU Ecofin meeting on November 8.
The Troika was meant to disburse the sixth tranche of the first program in the first or second week of November, as Papandreou returns from G20 weaker we may not see this funding pass.

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