U.S. Inventories and Production Levels.
Social unrest and revolt during the Arab spring led to a restricted N African supply of crude. Japan’s catastrophic quake halted her industrial production lines. These events created unprecedented volatility in the raw commodities industry, the volatility is set to continue through 2012 as more austere fiscal measures are adopted.
If the IMF is asked for funds from the EU, it won’t have enough resources for the rest of the worlds emerging markets if there is a contagion. The fiscal situation in the EU’s GIIPS countries is not good, but it’s not like they were jewels to begin with, they’ve battled these problems for decades,Continue reading “The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds”
One, politics in Europe are local, not “European.” Two, monetary, fiscal, and labor policy are at the core of the problems in the GIIPS. Third, The EU had better identify itself and make its presence known- finally. It is her “fight or flight” moment. The Entire EU hangs in the balance, and coupled with thatContinue reading “EU Vassals.”
Bond managers have recovered record profits in the past month. See attached charts, courtesy of Jpm:
No. Ticker % Change Industry 1 MKTG -20.71 FINANCIAL 2 ING -11.96 FINANCIAL 3 HMPR -10.18 FINANCIAL 4 AEG -8.82 FINANCIAL 5 DB -8.78 FINANCIAL 6 BCS -8.55 FINANCIAL 7 DGIT -8.53 FINANCIAL 8 RDN -8.53 FINANCIAL 9 OCN -8.25 FINANCIAL 10 HBC -8.04 FINANCIAL 11 CS -8.03 FINANCIAL 12 PNSN -7.76 FINANCIAL 13 LMLPContinue reading “Weakest Performing Financials (domestic & foreign)”
The human cost to natural disasters like the one in Turkey weeks ago include injuries and temporary and permanent disabilities, temporary and permanent displacement of people, increased poverty and disease, and psychological scars. In addition Economic costs, based largely on direct infrastructure or losses of fixed capital and inventory, are also underestimated. Many indirect effectsContinue reading “Managing Economic Crises, Don’t Forget the Impact of Natural Disaster”
At this point it really doesn’t matter which way the crisis in Greece goes. The worlds confidence has fallen as bond markets have shown more alarm and the GIIPS have been forced a bailout. Government debt situations and the banking industry and heavily linked GLOBALLY, and more is likely to come (MF GLOBAL). The fallContinue reading “Crisis of Confidence”
Ok, here is the itinerary: The ECB is meeting on November 3rd. The G20 is meeting on November 3-4, The Papandreou is attending on the 2nd day. A Eurogroup meeting will follow on November 7th, followed by an EU Ecofin meeting on November 8. The Troika was meant to disburse the sixth tranche of theContinue reading ““This is a question of whether we remain in the euro zone. This is very clear. It’s clear to everyone” – Papandreou”