Archive for the ‘Proprietary’ Category
Social unrest and revolt during the Arab spring led to a restricted N African supply of crude. Japan’s catastrophic quake halted her industrial production lines. These events created unprecedented volatility in the raw commodities industry, the volatility is set to continue through 2012 as more austere fiscal measures are adopted.
If the IMF is asked for funds from the EU, it won’t have enough resources for the rest of the worlds emerging markets if there is a contagion.
The fiscal situation in the EU’s GIIPS countries is not good, but it’s not like they were jewels to begin with, they’ve battled these problems for decades, even centuries.
The ECB must resolve this. Today, there exists a real possibility that the EZ might just break apart and countries would return to multiple currencies.
The ECB must stop the meltdown by buying GIIPS bonds as needed.
Tonights Republican debate is focusing on national security and foreign policy issues. So far, the candidates have been unable to understand if the next Iranian regime will likely want nuclear weapons too.
I guess “Africa is a country”…and according to Rick Perry’s math “half a trillion” is actually equal to “500 million.”
we should spend even MORE money on Defense! – Mitt Romney
“Africa is a country on the brink.” – Rick Santorum
genocide overseas? Not our business, beer should be illegal – Ron Paul,
Iran has mountains and shit – Herman Cain
Chilean models http://bit.ly/sivhRn – Newt Gingritch
give mexican drug lords medical care and scholarships – Rick Perry
“voices in my head said” – Michelle Bachman
The human cost to natural disasters like the one in Turkey weeks ago include injuries and temporary and permanent disabilities, temporary and permanent displacement of people, increased poverty and disease, and psychological scars. In addition Economic costs, based largely on direct infrastructure or losses of fixed capital and inventory, are also underestimated. Many indirect effects on economic activity include long-term consequences of the reallocation of investment resources, and the loss in human capital. Over the past year the incidence of natural disaster has increased.
The El Niño and La Niña events, associated with anomalous floods, droughts, and storms, are getting larger and more frequent.
In fact commodity producers are already bracing for another La Niña, a weather phenomenon that wreaked havoc earlier this year on commodities markets, sending prices to multiyear highs. La Niña is a shift to cooler than normal temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, causing above normal rainfall in south-east Asia and northern and eastern Australia, and an increase in tropical cyclones. Here in the USA, our Pacific Northwest and Northern Plains are wetter while the southern states face a lack of rain. In South America the heavy rains threaten coffee, corn and soybean production. India experiences an increase in monsoons, threatening their iron and ore. South East Asia and Australia experience heavy rains that destroy the harvests of rubber, palm oil, coal, wheat, and sugar. The change in the elements has a huge impact on commodities production.
At this point it really doesn’t matter which way the crisis in Greece goes. The worlds confidence has fallen as bond markets have shown more alarm and the GIIPS have been forced a bailout. Government debt situations and the banking industry and heavily linked GLOBALLY, and more is likely to come (MF GLOBAL).
The fall in confidence has led to a convincing bailout but weaknesses in the Eurozone will still remain. Money is already fleeing the Eurozone, the dollar only an alternative. The Swiss Franc and the Yen are no-longer safe-havens because their central banks have intervened to artificially weaken those currencies.
Today the U.S. dollar is the only really liquid place for cash to go. Greece can get a bailout but she will weaken tomorrow.
The EU has no choice but to leave Greece bankrupt and in chaos. Modern Greece has not been much of a democracy in the last 60 years. Confidence is down. When they re-print the Drachma to pay bills, hyper inflation will be terrible, “contagion” is worse.
Martin Coward, co-founder of Ikos Financial and estranged husband of Elena Ambrosiadou, is preparing to launch his own hedge fund. The FT reports the fund will be activated next year, using the same state of the art proprietary technology to benefit from high frequency trading that has lead to Ikos’s success.
Although Coward is the original code designer he does not have ownership of it.
Ms. Elena Ambrosiadou has put in place an injunction that is enforceable in the EU (UK & Cyprus) making it illegal for Mr. Coward from talking about Ikos or to any individual connected to the fund, ever.